A recent ABC News/Ipsos poll indicates that the debate between Vice President Kamala Harris and former President Donald Trump did not significantly impact the 2024 presidential race. Despite most participants affirming that Harris outperformed Trump in the debate, Harris maintained a four-point lead over Trump both before and after the event. The survey, which included 2,772 registered voters, showed Harris leading Trump by 51% to 47%. A similar poll by YouGov for The Sunday Times also noted Harris as the debate winner but found no significant change in the election standings.
Furthermore, a Morning Consult Survey of 3,317 likely voters revealed Harris maintaining a slight lead over Trump after the debate, with a 50% to 45% margin. While this represented a minor improvement for Harris compared to pre-debate polling, the difference fell within the margin of error. Pollsters suggest that Harris’ lead may be due to either her debate performance or natural momentum in the campaign.
Overall, the consensus from various polls suggests that Harris maintained her lead over Trump despite being declared the debate winner. It remains unclear whether the debate influenced the election standings or if Harris was gaining momentum on her own before the event. With still a long way to go until the 2024 presidential race, it will be interesting to see how these trends evolve in the coming months.
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